INCREASING TRANSPARENCY OF THE SAFETY CASE DURING OPTIMIZATION OF REPOSITORY DESIGN
I. G. McKinley
Nagra
Wettingen, Switzerland
M. Toyota
Japan Nuclear Fuel Limited
Tokyo, Japan
ABSTRACT
Many published concepts for disposal of high-level radioactive waste have been intended primarily to demonstrate the feasibility of safe management of such wastes and hence tended to be somewhat idealised and/or over-designed. As national programmes mature and move towards implementation, there is a corresponding move towards optimisation of designs in order to incorporate experience gained over the last few decades and to take better consideration of the practicalities of quality assurance during operation of the repository.
During such optimisation studies, opportunities arise to increase the robustness of the design by reducing uncertainties in long-term performance. This can involve, for example, adapting designs in order to eliminate potential disruption scenarios. Canister sinking, excessive stress build-up due to the expansion of canister corrosion products and backfill erosion can be effectively avoided by manipulating the backfill composition / mineral chemistry or by using a layered backfill with varying rheological and swelling properties. Optimisation must also take the practicalities of repository construction and engineered barrier system emplacement into account. Economic factors must also be considered; costs should be minimised as long as such reduction does not compromise safety requirements.
Such optimisation will be illustrated for the case of vitrified HLW disposal concepts considered in both Switzerland and Japan. These desk studies lead on to suggestions for experimental and work studies to fine-tune design variants and assess their relative pros and cons.
INTRODUCTION
Many geological disposal concepts for high-level waste (HLW) have been extensively analysed over the last couple of decades and demonstrated to offer extremely high levels of safety. Due both to the inherent limitations in the geological formations available in some countries and the difficulties in detailed geological characterisation, many countries have evolved disposal systems thaqt place considerable weighting on the performance of the engineered barrier system (EBS). In Japan and Switzerland, similarities in waste form and geological/environmental constraints have led to very similar reference repository systems being adopted - involving encapsulation of vitrified HLW in thick steel canisters which are emplaced in tunnels, backfilled with compacted bentonite (Fig. 1).
Fig. 1. Schematic comparison of the disposal concepts in the Japanese H3 (left) and Swiss Kristallin-I Projects (right). All measurements are in metres
Although these reference disposal systems have been the focus of extensive studies to demonstrate their safety [e.g. Nagra, 1985; PNC, 1992; Nagra 1994] and form the basis of very extensive R&D programmes, they are acknowledged not to be optimised from the points of view of construction feasibility, performance or cost. Recently, the aspect of practicality has received more attention in both concept evaluations [Toyota, 1995a] and demonstration studies [Huertas and Santiago, 1997]
Based on such considerations, procedures for optimisation have been presented which are intended to preserve the clear safety case which has already been demonstrated, but increase practicality and remove some possible open questions with regard to long-term safety [McKinley, 1997]. A further advantage of this option is that costs are also reduced. It is increasingly realised that such studies are important, as projects move towards implementation [McCombie, 1998].
In this paper, the initial optimisation studies presented by McKinley [1997] are extended and refined significantly with the specific aim of increasing transparency of the safety case.
IMPROVING SAFETY CASE TRANSPARENCY
The key features of the original Nagra/PNC disposal systems (Fig. 1) which give rise to their "robust" [cf. definition of robustness in McCombie et al., 1991] performance are as follows:
Extensive analysis of this concept [PNC, 1992; Nagra, 1994] has indicated that most radionuclides would decay to insignificance within the EBS and that the few long-lived isotopes released would have very low concentrations. Nevertheless, some open questions remain which, even if rather unlikely, lead to scenarios in which performance can be significantly degraded (e.g. due to bentonite erosion, perturbation due to gas generation, stress build-up due to canister corrosion products, canister sinking). Recent analyses have suggested modifications of the EBS which would preserve the key safety features identified above but eliminate (or greatly decrease the likelihood) of such perturbations [Toyota, 1995b; McKinley 1997]. This paper extends past work by focusing on optimisation which improves the transparency of the safety case. A fundamental assumption in this analysis is that a modular construction technique is used which allows EBS units to be assembled in a quality assured manner and emplaced in prefabricated form. Such technology allows multiple component EBS systems to be considered - which would be impractical for an in-situ construction approach. The engineering, operational and quality assurance aspects of modular EBS fabrication and emplacement are discussed in a companion paper [Toyota and McKinley, 1998].
The basic components of the proposed EBS module (Fig. 2) are:
Fig. 2. Sketch of the components of an optimised EBS module. Unit 1 includes the thin steel fabrication container. An alternative option would involve a module containing units 1 - 4 within the steel shell, the outer bentonite/sand layer being emplaced in-situ
Considering these components in turn, their contributions to the overall safety case are:
The outer steel shell of the design is internally supported and should be able to resist the slow build-up of hydrostatic pressure as the tunnel resaturates. The shell will eventually fail due to either mechanical pressure (e.g. due to creep of the walls or failure of any tunnel lining involved) or corrosion. In any case, for most packages, lifetimes of decades to centuries can be reasonably expected, which would cover the duration of the highest near-field temperatures.
After the outer shell is penetrated, water will pass through the geochemically inert geotextile layer and begin to wet the sand/bentonite layer. As the hydraulic conductivity of the latter decreases considerably as it wets and swells, the geotextile layer should encourage more even wetting of the inner layers. Complete saturation of the inner bentonite and sand layers would take decades to hundreds of years and may be constrained by water supply rates for low conductivity host rocks.
The key rôle of the pure, highly compacted bentonite is to act as a colloid filter. Sand/bentonite mixtures also have low hydraulic conductivities and can significantly contribute to radionuclide retention but with the additional advantages of high resistance to erosion (outer layer), higher thermal conductivity and lower tendency to creep (inner layer - to prevent canister sinking). The inner layer may, indeed, be prepared with a very high sand/bentonite ratio (~10:1, say) or even be pure sand. This would encourage the accumulation of any hydrogen gas resulting from anaerobic steel corrosion (or radiolysis) in this layer - feeding back to reduce corrosion rates or release rates of radionuclides from the waste form. A small amount of a suitable ferrous mineral (e.g. siderite) could be added to the sand or sand/bentonite mixtures to provide further redox buffering capacity (eliminating pessimistic redox-front penetration scenarios) and to enhance uptake of some radionuclides.
This concept involves a high strength inner steel canister (10 - 20 cm thick) which is coated or clad to minimise corrosion. Very hard, low corrosion coatings with material such as tungsten carbide or diamond have been developed for many industrial applications and procedures such as ion-beam assisted deposition or chemical vapour deposition allow possibilities of cost-effective application of layers up to ~1 - 5 mm thick. Alternatively, a thin layer (2 - 3 mm) of Ti alloy could be used to provide the required corrosion resistance. Although the fabrication technology is certainly not yet proven for these applications, the great chemical stability of such materials is well established from their application to extreme industrial environments and their natural analogues. This design allows good mechanical performance to be provided by a well known material (steel) but the overall safety principle of corrosion allowance (from the Nagra/PNC disposal system) to be replaced by corrosion resistance. The reduced thickness of the canister minimises potential potential problems due to swelling of any corrosion products eventually formed and an even partially complete coating would reduce gas production rates. Filling void spaces within the canister and the inner glass fabrication container may allow thinner canisters to be used by reducing mechanical strength requirements [cf. Toyota & McKinley, 1998]. It should be emphasised that performance assessment demonstrates that canister longevity is not a critical part of the safety case unless lifetimes can be guaranteed beyond ~105 years. Even without providing such guarantees, the indication that many (or most) canisters will probably not fail over very long timescales is of considerable value in discussions with the general public. After failure, canister corrosion products will buffer redox conditions to ensure low solubilities of most relevant radionuclides.
The dimensions of the various components of the optimised EBS are summarised in Table 1. These component thicknesses are not independent; a thicker canister (~ 20 cm) may require a thicker pure bentonite layer to allow expansion of corrosion products while a thinner canister allows either simple reduction in the pure bentonite thickness or replacement of some part of the pure bentonite with bentonite sand mixture.
FURTHER WORK TO REFINE THE OPTIMISED EBS CONCEPT
The basic concept outlined above is being further analysed in order to specify the dimensions of individual components and choose between design variants (e.g. material for canister corrosion protection). An outline of the key components of this investigation programme is provided in Table 1. Further studies related to determining practicalities of fabrication and tailoring of design and handling to specific host rocks are described elsewhere [Toyota and McKinley, 1997].
The initial scoping calculations and desk studies will lead on to an associated experimental study programme to demonstrate the concepts involved and validate the predicted behaviour of the system. Long-term, large scale and/or in-situ tests may be needed but, as the concept relies mainly on materials with very well known properties, the requirements for R&D should be relative modest.
Although the prime aim of this work is to derive a system which is optimised with regard to long term safety and practicality of implementation, potentially large savings in materials and operational costs could be obtained. Scoping calculations indicate that such savings on the concept outlined above would be much greater than the costs of the associated R&D work involved to implement it. Financial aspects will, however, be considered in further detail after the technical details of design and implementation have been better established.
Table I. Optimized EBS Design; Dimensions and R&D Study Areas
Component |
Material |
Thickness |
Study areas |
Canister |
Steel |
10 - 20 cm |
Mechanical modelling (host rock/repository depth specific) |
Anti-corrosion layer |
Diamond, Tungsten Carbide or |
1 - 5 m m 1 - 5 mm |
Technology review / corrosion study / material optimisation |
Inner backfill layer |
Sand or sand/bentonite |
10 - 20 cm |
Review of mechanical properties (canister corrosion products swelling) / thermal analysis / selection of optimal composition |
Middle backfill layer |
Pure bentonite (1.8 Mg/m3 ) |
20 - 40 cm |
Radionuclide release / thermal modelling |
Outer backfill layer |
Sand/bentonite (5:1, ~2 Mg/m3 ) |
10 - 20 cm |
Radionuclide release / thermal modelling; homogeneity of wetting |
Shell lining |
Geotextile |
1 - 2 cm |
Required only if uneven wetting of the outer backfill layer problematic. Check of geochemical inertness |
Handling shell |
Steel |
1 - 2 cm |
Mechanical modelling |
Complete System |
Multi-component |
(Diameter 1.7 - 2.7 m |
Integrated performance assessment. |
CONCLUSIONS
The proposed 2nd generation design promises increased performance, with reduced uncertainties with also simplified emplacement, improved quality assurance and reduced costs [cf. Toyota & McKinley, 1998]. Modular EBS construction allows a series of simple materials with complementary properties to be combined under well defined conditions. This multiple barrier system combines the key safety features of the original design with additions which exclude potential perturbation scenarios. Although performance is provided by well known materials, use of modern materials/coating technology is suggested to provide a cost-effective, corrosion-resistant layer on the canister. A programme of R&D to refine this concept has been outlined which may lead on to large scale, field demonstration of its feasibility.
REFERENCES